Question
For Sean Toh? Investing In Index Fund?
Hi Sean,
Do you have experience
putting your money in ETF(Exchange Traded Funds)? I
was thinking of investing some money in index funds
and/or EFT (local or US). Do you have any
recommendations or views on that? What is your view
with regards to today's investment market? Is it on
the high side (highest STI(Strait Times Index of
Singapore) or do you feel that there is still market
for increment, i.e. STI(Strait Times Index of
Singapore) to reach 3000??.
From
Wilvan Wee
|
|
Here
Is The Answers Specially For Your Questions, Wilvan! Sincerely From
Sean Toh.
Dear
Wilvan,
I'm
glad that you are asking questions because this is where your
financial education begins. First, I would like to define for you what
is the purpose of an index.
An Index is derived
from a selected number of underlying assets. These Indices may be
formulated to reflect the general movement of the value of the
underlying assets. The composition and weight-age of the underlying
assets may be formulated to reflect the movement of the value of an
industry, a country or any collection of a class of assets. Hence, STI
( The Strait Times Index of Singapore ) is composed of 50 Singapore
Stocks from various sectors.
Second, let me define
for you what is an ETF(Exchange Traded Funds)
Exchange Traded Funds
are Collective Investment schemes. Collective
investment schemes are ways of investing money with other people in
order to participate in a wider range of investments.
Collective
investments schemes are usually referred to as Mutual Funds, Managed
Funds or simply Funds. These funds
account for a large portion of the trading on most stock exchanges.
While the structure of
ETF's vary around the world, major common features include:
An exchange listing and
ability to trade continually.
They are often index
linked instead of being actively managed.
These qualities give
ETF's some advantages over Mutual Funds. ETF's allow for a diversified
portfolio at a low cost. They can
be used in both
long term buy and hold
and for
selling short and hedging strategies.
Typically ETF's
replicate a stock market index, such as Standard and Poor's
500, or the Hang Seng index, or STI(Strait Times Index of Singapore).
They may also contain stocks from a specific market sector such as
energy, or a commodity such as gold. They often have amusing or
catchy, upbeat names like, "Diamond" and "Spider".
ETF's are most commonly found on the AME or American Stock Exchange
but it is starting to emerge in the Singapore Stock Exchange too.
ETF's present an
alternative to the traditional open ended Mutual Funds( Units Trust in
Singapore ). The Open ended index funds are particularly good for this
type of use.
Having defined for you
the two terms. I like to tell you that even I do not know if the
market is high or low but the market is actually a reflection of lots
of contributing factors like economical performance of a country, the psychology
of the investors in the markets, politics in the countries, current
affairs around the world, geography in the regions, etc. If everything
is well, investors has more confident with the markets. They will
throw in more capital for investment to cause the index to rise. If
the conditions warrant that investors dump their investments because
of fears, they will sell their stocks or investment which can
sometimes cause the market to crash when the index drop too fast that
is beyond governor's control.
Four
Step To Financial Freedom's Program

In my
book - 'Fours Steps To Financial Freedom'
which will be launched early Christmas 2006, I have a chapter which is
Chapter 9 - Zero
Financial Education explaining the
theory of - The
fundamentals of winning and losing money equilibrium equation.
The whole market is about 'selling' and 'buying'. When to enter the
market depends on a person's mix of characteristics which cause him to
make a rational or irrational decision to invest. If his decision is
irrational, he will enter the market buying at a high. If his decision
is rational, he might not enter the market if he intends to buy at a
low but master investor will see this an opportunities and start
building their positions to short the market as it might start to
crash rapidly. What I'm trying to tell you is that your financial
education will guide you to make rational investment decisions whereas
ignorance will cause you to lose money. Start your financial education
now. Find the answers to those questions that are in your head and
answer them everyday. When 3 years have passed, you will be more
financially confident. I afraid I'm don't collect clients to help them
invest but the advices that I'm giving will be at a neutral standing
point to let you decide what to do next. You have to be responsible
for your decisions not somebody else.
Most master investor
has a system for investing that has been tested rigorously for
successful profit reaping. Do you have one?
You have to sit down to design and experiment with yours to see if
yours could stand the test. How could I devise one? Sean, you must be
joking! You will if you start your
financial education. A system or technique to beat the market if the
market is fluctuating used by novice, or even mature investors is
called -
'
The Dollars
Cost Averaging
'- A Technique that
Drastically Reduces Market Risk
Dollar cost averaging is a technique
designed to reduce market risk through the
systematic purchase of securities at predetermined intervals and set
amounts. Many successful investors already practice without
realizing it. Many others could save themselves a lot of time,
effort and money by beginning a plan. You will learn the three steps
to beginning a dollar cost averaging plan, look at concrete examples
of how it can lower an investor’s cost basis, and discover how it
reduces risk.
Instead of investing assets in a lump sum,
the investor works his way into a position by slowly buying smaller
amounts over a longer period of time.
This spreads the cost
basis out over several years, providing insulation against changes in
market price.
Setting Up Your Own Dollar Cost
Averaging Plan
In order to begin a dollar cost averaging
plan, you must do three things:
1. Decide exactly how much money you
can invest each month. Make certain that you are financially capable
of keeping the amount consistent; otherwise the plan will not be as
effective.
2. Select an investment (index funds
are particularly appropriate, but we will get to that in a moment)
that you want to hold for the long term, preferably five to ten years
or longer.
3. At regular intervals (weekly,
monthly or quarterly works best), invest that money into the security
you’ve chosen. If your broker offers it, set up an automatic
withdrawal plan so the process becomes automated.
An Example of a Dollar Cost Averaging
Plan
You have $15,000 you want to invest in XYZ
common stock. The date is January 1, 2007. You have two options: you
can invest the money as a lump sum now, walk away and forget about it,
or you can set up a dollar cost averaging plan and ease your way into
the stock. You opt for the latter and decide to invest $1,250 each
quarter for three years. (See chart for math of dollar cost averaging
plan.)
Had you invested your $15,000 in
January 2007, you would have purchased 264.46 shares at $56.72 each.
When the stock closed for the year in December of 2007 at $13.69, your
holdings would only be worth $3,620!
Had you dollar cost averaged into the
stock over the past three years, however, you would own 746.21 shares;
at the closing price, this gives your holdings a market value of
$10,216. Although still a loss, XYZ stock must only go up to $20.10
for you to break even, not $56.72, which would have been required
without the dollar cost averaging.
To go a step further, without dollars cost averaging you would break even at $56.72. With dollar cost
averaging, you would have turned a profit of $27,326 when the stock
hit that price thanks to your lower cost basis ($56.72 sell price -
$20.10 average cost basis = $36.62 profit x 746.21 shares = $27,326
total profit.)
Combining the Power
of Dollar Cost Averaging with the Diversification of a Mutual Fund
Index funds are passively managed mutual
funds that are designed to mimic the returns of benchmarks such as
the S&P 500, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, STI-ETF, etc. An
investor that puts money into a fund designed to mimic the Wilshire
5000, for example, is literally going to own a fractional interest
in every one of the five thousand stocks that make up that index.
This instant diversification comes with the added bonus.
Traditionally, management fees of passive funds are less than
one-tenth those of their actively managed counterparts. Over the
course of a decade, for example, this can add up to tens of
thousands of dollars the investor would have paid in fees to the
mutual fund company that, instead, are accruing to his or her
benefit.
The dollar cost
averaging component reduces market risk, while the index fund
investment reduces company-specific risk. This combination can be
among the best investment options for individuals looking to build
up their long term wealth by having a portion of their portfolio in
equities.
Table 1: XYZ with Dollars
Cost Averaging
| Invest
date |
Amount |
Price
per share |
Shares
purchased |
| Jan.
2007 |
$1,250 |
$56.72 |
22.04 |
| Apr.
2007 |
$1,250 |
$54.19 |
23.07 |
| Jul.
2007 |
$1,250 |
$31.34 |
39.27 |
| Oct.
2007 |
$1,250 |
$22.60 |
53.31 |
| Jan.
2007 |
$1,250 |
$22.10 |
56.50 |
| Apr.
2007 |
$1,250 |
$19.05 |
65.62 |
| Oct.
2007 |
$1,250 |
$18.13 |
68.95 |
| Jan.
2008 |
$1,250 |
$16.14 |
77.45 |
| Apr.
2008 |
$1,250 |
$14.58 |
85.73 |
| Jul.
2008 |
$1,250 |
$8.66 |
144.34 |
| Oct.
2008 |
$1,250 |
$11.64 |
107.39 |
| Total |
$15,000 |
$20.10
avg. |
746.21
shares owned |
Well, I hope this
education will allow you to decide what you should do next, Wilvan.
That will be $200 dollars for this 2 hours of consultation because my
rate is $100 per hours, Wilvan. I will charge you nothing as this is
first consultation. For subsequent consultation, the rate will be $100
per hour....The best financial advisor that you could find is in front
of your mirror at home.
Although
I have recommended and advise you on lots of matters, it takes more
than education, resources and advice for you to be successful. You
need to be patience and committed to your plan to achieve a bit of
success. It’s that bit of success that will motivate you even more
to learn and apply what you learned in life for your future success.
Just in case, if you have been waiting the whole day for all the
answers. I will like to apologize for the delay to your answers
because I believe in giving my best advice to you personally and
sincerely from my heart. I needed the time to understand the problems
you faced, understanding them and finding the right resources for your
education so that you have a higher success rate when you implement
your plan.
Last
but not least, may I wish you all the success implementing the plan
and achieving some results that you can see for yourself. Do consult a
proper financial planner or advisor if you are really in doubts. It's
you that make the decision to decide if you want to be successful?
Enjoy creating wealth with health. It’s has been my pleasure
providing consultancy service to you, Wilvan!
Your
Sincerely


P.S.
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P.P.S.
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